What are the odds of two successive polls producing identical results on a sample size of ~1500, assuming that there is no change in the underlying voting intentions of the general population? ..... Hmm - and of course post- credit crunch we really put financial traders at the top of our trust-worthy league! by Professor Davey March 18th, 2010 at 11:05 pm. The position seems fairly clear at the moment - the Tories are only slightly ahead without certainty to vote being ...
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